Wybór rynku zagranicznego – groźba nowych wejść

ekspansja zagraniczna- Universe Consulting

Groźba nowych wejść na rynek

Im łatwiej wejść na dany rynek tym większe zagrożenie, że inni też zdecydują się na to. Skalę ryzyka nowych wejść ocenia się poprzez zdefiniowanie barier.

Im mniej barier tym groźba nowych wejść rośnie a rentowność rynku spada.

Określ:

  • kapitałochłonność – im wyższa kwota jaką trzeba zainwestować, aby otworzyć biznes taki jak Twój i rozwijać go na rynku, tym ryzyko nowych wejść mniejsze,
  • korzyści skali – im wyższe korzyści skali osiągają gracze tym mniejsze ryzyko nowych wejść, wynika to z tego, iż nowi gracze musieliby długi czas działać w niekorzystnych uwarunkowaniach zanim zaczęliby osiągać korzyści,
  • know – how – jeżeli w danej branży korzysta się ze specjalistycznej wiedzy, którą firmy zdobywają i budują przez wiele lat, ryzyko nowych wejść jest niskie, dodatkowo niektóre technologie mogą być chronione patentami,
  • bariery prawne – niektóre branże są ograniczane regulacjami państwowymi, co znacznie utrudnia wejść nowych podmiotów, także zagranicznych, ponadto często wymagane jest spełnienie dodatkowych kryteriów, aby działać w danej branży; im więcej takich obostrzeń tym mniejsze ryzyko nowych wejść,
  • zróżnicowanie produktów pośród konkurentów – jeżeli obecni producenci/dostawcy oferują zróżnicowane technologicznie produkty, które nie są do siebie zbyt podobne, a ich marki mają silną pozycję, wówczas wejście nowych graczy będzie utrudnione, czyli ryzyko niższe,
  • koszty zmiany dostawcy – jeżeli zmiana dostawcy jest dla klienta prosta, wówczas większe jest zagrożenie, że jednak nowi dostawcy będą się pojawiać i odbierać klientów tym już istniejącym.

Analizując dany sektor, wszystkie z wymienionych czynników mogą nie mieć zastosowania. Ale niektóre, jeżeli nie wiele z nich, na pewno będzie mieć zastosowanie. Wśród czynników, które będą mieć zastosowanie , niektóre mogą wskazywać na wysokie zagrożenie nowymi wejściami, a niektóre mogą wskazywać na niskie ryzyko. Wyniki nie zawsze będą jednoznaczne. Dlatego, aby ocenić konkurencyjność i potencjał zyskowności rynku,  konieczne jest analizowanie niuansów i trendów oraz szczególnych okoliczności danej firmy czy sektora.

Zobacz pozostałe kroki:

5 Sił Portera

Nasilenie konkurencji

Groźba pojawienia się substytutów

Siła przetargowa nabywców i dostawców

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